The CRBCUT Engine

From a pin to a forecast.

Every score shows its source. Every forecast is a range.

Request beta access See how it works
Forecast in Beta. US sites.
The engine at a glance A pin on the map, three scored parking lots with the best one picked, and the forecast range for that lot. 1 · PIN 62 84 47 2 · SCORE NINE LAYERS 3 · FORECAST P10–P90
  • 1A zip, an address or a map pin.
  • 2Every lot scored, every score sourced.
  • 3Sessions a day as a range, with a grade.
  • 4Then the design, the budget and the packets.
E-0The CRBCUT Enginecrbcut.com
KeyQtyDescription
A9Scored layers per lot, each with its source.
B1,000Runs behind every forecast.
C10Years forecast, each as P10, P50 and P90.
D3,502Sourced prices behind every estimate.
E-1Engine schedulecrbcut.com

The chain

Six steps, one record.

Each step hands its numbers to the next.

  1. 1PinZip, address or pin.
  2. 2ScoreReal lots, nine layers.
  3. 3DesignDrawn on the aerial.
  4. 4 · BetaForecastSessions a day, as a range.
  5. 5BudgetLow, typical, high. Payback beside it.
  6. 6NTPYour engineer seals. Your utility confirms.
E-2The chaincrbcut.com

Find a site

Nine layers. Every one sourced.

Each lot gets a 0 to 100 on every layer, a reason in plain words and a confidence label.

Traffic
Vehicles a day on the road beside the lot. State DOT and FHWA counts.
Corridor access
Highway exits, busy routes and transit nearby.
Charging gap
Public chargers already close by. AFDC station list.
Grid screen
Substations, lines and utility capacity maps. An early read. Only the utility confirms service.
Real-estate fit
Does a visit to the host match the charge? A grocery store suits a quick stop. A hotel suits a long stay.
Nearby amenities
Places to eat, shop or wait within 820 feet.
Site suitability
Stalls, lot size and the parcel. Garages and downtown pay lots are flagged.
Demand context
Census density and the share of apartments. Fewer garages, more public charging.
Incentives
Only verified, open programs score. None are promised.
  • HighAn official count or record.
  • MediumGood public data with known gaps.
  • LowA proxy or an estimate.
  • NoneNo data. Left out, never a zero.
E-3Find a site: the nine layerscrbcut.com

How scores combine

The weights follow the use.

A quick stop lives on traffic. A long stay lives on the host.

Default weights, out of 100
LayerQuick stop · DC fastLong stay · Level 2
Traffic200
Corridor access150
Charging gap2015
Grid screen155
Real-estate fit1035
Nearby amenities510
Site suitability510
Demand context015
Incentives1010

  • Missing data

    Left out, not zeroed.

    The other layers share its weight.

  • Caps

    Deal-breakers hold the total down.

    Chargers already there. A garage for DC fast.

  • Ratings

    Strong, Good, Fair, Weak.

    With the reasons, the drags and the unknowns.

E-4How scores combinecrbcut.com

The forecast · Beta

Demand built from facts you can check.

No capture rate picked by hand. It starts from what Find a site saw: traffic, amenities and density.

  1. 1

    EVs on the road.

    State registrations, projected as the fleet turns over.

    AFDC registrations

  2. 2

    Who lives nearby.

    Vehicles within 5 miles for DC fast, 2 for Level 2.

    U.S. Census

  3. 3

    How much charging is public.

    About 10% rural, 20% suburban, 40% urban.

    NREL charging study

  4. 4

    This site's share.

    Split with every station nearby. Competitors keep building.

    AFDC stations

  5. 5

    Through traffic.

    Long trips on the highway that need a charge.

    State DOT counts

  6. 6

    Can the ports keep up.

    Queueing, not a cap. It also gives the peak kW.

    Erlang C

  7. 7

    A range, not a number.

    1,000 runs give P10, P50 and P90 for each year.

    Every assumption sourced

Forecast model by The Charge Sheet.

E-5The forecastcrbcut.com

The range and the grade

It shows its work.

  • Sessions, kWh and peak kW, each year.
  • P10, P50 and P90, not one guess.
  • What drives the range.
  • A grade, A to D, with its reasons.
The shape of a forecast range A band widens from year 1 to year 10. The P50 line rises after a first-year ramp and then flattens as competitors build. YR 1YR 5YR 10 SESSIONS A DAY P90P50P10

The shape, not a real site.

E-6The range and the gradecrbcut.com

Straight talk

No one can call one site exactly.

Lookalike sites differ by about two times. So we show the range.

What you get

  • A range and a grade.
  • Every assumption sourced.
  • Competitors that keep building.
  • Peak kW for the demand charge.

What it does not do

  • Promise one number.
  • React to your price.
  • See fleet or rideshare demand.
  • Know your own sites, yet.

The forecast is in Beta. Runs are screening ranges until ZIP-level Census data and calibration land. Each run says so.

E-7Straight talkcrbcut.com

Try it

Run it on your market.

Pro mode shows every score, source and weight.

Request beta access Beta sign in
E-8Try itcrbcut.com